{"id":1356,"date":"2021-04-28T11:02:31","date_gmt":"2021-04-28T11:02:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mb668s.com\/cam-nang-7mb66-xoc-dia\/?p=1356"},"modified":"2026-03-31T09:42:00","modified_gmt":"2026-03-31T02:42:00","slug":"confidence-interval-la-gi-khai-niem-va-cach-tinh-chuan-xac","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mb668s.com\/cam-nang-7mb66-xoc-dia\/kien-thuc-kinh-te\/confidence-interval-la-gi-khai-niem-va-cach-tinh-chuan-xac","title":{"rendered":"Confidence Interval l\u00e0 g\u00ec – kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m v\u00e0 c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh chu\u1ea9n x\u00e1c"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
Confidence Interval l\u00e0 g\u00ec<\/strong>? \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t thu\u1eadt ng\u1eef d\u00f9ng trong th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea bi\u1ec3u di\u1ec5n. Theo \u0111\u00f3 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tham s\u1ed1 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa kho\u1ea3ng hai gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb. C\u00e1c gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1eb7t trong m\u1ed9t t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 th\u1eddi gian nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Trong th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea, Confidence Interval (CI) c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 kho\u1ea3ng tin c\u1eady, l\u00e0 thu\u1eadt ng\u1eef ch\u1ec9 m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1i \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kho\u1ea3ng, d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 bi\u1ec3u di\u1ec5n x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tham s\u1ed1 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 n\u1eb1m gi\u1eefa kho\u1ea3ng 2 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Confidence Interval \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a d\u1eef li\u1ec7u quan s\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. Theo \u0111\u00f3, kho\u1ea3ng tin c\u1eady c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 bao h\u00e0m c\u1ea3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a tham s\u1ed1 qu\u1ea7n th\u1ec3 ch\u01b0a bi\u1ebft. Tuy v\u1eady, kho\u1ea3ng tin c\u1eady \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00f4ng nh\u1ea5t thi\u1ebft ph\u1ea3i bao g\u1ed3m gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a tham s\u1ed1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Confidence Interval l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1i \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kho\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t tham s\u1ed1 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 ra \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n Nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp trong ph\u1ea7n kh\u00e1i ni\u1ec7m Confidence Interval l\u00e0 g\u00ec, kho\u1ea3ng tin c\u1eady \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean gi\u1ea3 thi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c quan s\u00e1t l\u00e0 c\u00e1c m\u1eabu ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t qu\u1ea7n th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00edch. Do v\u1eady kho\u1ea3ng tin c\u1eady nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u, c\u0169ng l\u00e0 con s\u1ed1 mang t\u00ednh ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3 thi\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1eb7t ra tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t d\u1eef li\u1ec7u. Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn l\u00e0 95. Ngo\u00e0i ra c\u0169ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng nh\u01b0 90% hay 99%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n N\u00f3i m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch ng\u1eafn g\u1ecdn:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n – Kho\u1ea3ng tin c\u1eady l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 b\u1ea5t k\u00ec, c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c sau khi t\u00ednh to\u00e1n d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean d\u1eef li\u1ec7u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n – \u0110\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady l\u00e0 con s\u1ed1 \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t d\u1eef li\u1ec7u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Kho\u1ea3ng tin c\u1eady l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea quan tr\u1ecdng trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch kinh doanh v\u00e0 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u2014 kh\u00e1m ph\u00e1 ngay c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0<\/a> tr\u00ean CareerLink \u0111\u1ec3 \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c n\u00e0y v\u00e0o th\u1ef1c ti\u1ec5n ngh\u1ec1 nghi\u1ec7p.<\/p>\n\n\n Trong th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t bao gi\u1edd c\u0169ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n sai s\u1ed1, v\u1eady c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 g\u00e2y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn Confidence Interval l\u00e0 g\u00ec? Theo Jerzy Neyman, cha \u0111\u1ebb c\u1ee7a l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft Confidence Interval, c\u00f3 3 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a kho\u1ea3ng tin c\u1eady l\u00e0: \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady, k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eabu v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9 bi\u1ebfn thi\u00ean c\u1ee7a m\u1eabu. Ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 n\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady cao h\u01a1n s\u1ebd c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng cho ra kho\u1ea3ng tin c\u1eady c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n. Ho\u1eb7c m\u1ed9t m\u1eabu c\u00f3 k\u00edch th\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1edbn h\u01a1n s\u1ebd c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng cho ra kho\u1ea3ng tin c\u1eady t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 tham s\u1ed1 qu\u1ea7n th\u1ec3.<\/p>\n\n\n
<\/figure>\n\n\n\nConfidence Interval l\u00e0 g\u00ec?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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Ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t kho\u1ea3ng tin c\u1eady v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9 tin c\u1eady<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn Confidence Interval<\/strong><\/h2>\n